A Few Gumballs Short of a Picnic

I got an email from a young man named Ken who asked me about an analogy Matt Dillahunty presents about whether the number of gumballs in a jar is odd or even. I originally did an unscripted answer but a lot of people missed the point so I did a scripted video which should be a lot clearer. You can of course watch it in YouTube:

16 thoughts on “A Few Gumballs Short of a Picnic

  1. grabaspine

    As I understand dilahuntys point onnthe gumballs, it’s about the null hypothesis. Just because one can’t a priori say that the number is even without actually counting, doesn’t mean that the number must be odd. Both claims would need to be verified by actual counting. And until you do, and have the evidence of whether they are in fact even or odd, the null hypothesis is either “i dont know” or “I don’t believe” the positive claim that they are even, or the positive claim that they are odd. Hope this helps, unless I’m completely missing you.


          1. grabaspine

            I can’t have a dialogue with the video. It’s one way. Can you dialogue with me in the comments as to where I’m missunderstanding?


                1. grabaspine

                  And again, what have I said to give the impression that I’m dialoguing in bad Faith? I simply asked you to explain how you said I’m misunderstanding. My comments are not in your video. Please dialogue with me here in the comments.


                2. If you genuinely don’t know, unfortunately I don’t have the time to teach you basic social skills. Find someone (neurotypical) 30+ years older than you, show them this conversion, and ask them what gave me this impression.


                3. grabaspine

                  So your answer is to insult me? And assume my age and intelligence as well as my honesty level? And this is “… with meekness and respect”? Have a nice day yourself. I did not insult you. I was trying to have a respectful and honest dialogue. You refused, then insulted me for asking. I do hope people read the conversation. Maybe they will be able to convince you to answer my questions and clarify. You do disservice to your Faith, your God, and your intended purpose for this blog.


  2. grabaspine

    In other words, atheism doesn’t claim that “there is no god” or that the number is odd, or that the number isn’t even. It asks the one who claims that there is a God, or that the number is even to demonstrate their claim to be in fact true before belief is justified.


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